縣域農(nóng)業(yè)高質(zhì)量發(fā)展評價及收斂性分析基于山東省的實(shí)證分析

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關(guān)鍵詞：農(nóng)業(yè)高質(zhì)量發(fā)展；評價體系；收斂性分析；熵權(quán)法；Delphi法；山東省縣域中圖分類號：F323.3；F327 文獻(xiàn)標(biāo)識碼：A文章編號：0439-8114（2025）05-0215-08DOI：10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2025.05.033

開放科學(xué)（資源服務(wù)）標(biāo)識碼（OSID）：

Evaluation and convergence analysis of high-quality agricultural development at the county level： An empirical analysis based on Shandong Province

YIN Fang，GUO Shi-juan，YANG Li-ping，WANG Zhao-hua，WEI Qing-gang （InstituteofAgriculturalInformationandEconomics，handongAcademyofAgiculturalciences，Jinan5oo，China）

Abstract：Selectingthecountyas teunitofanalysis，theconvergenetheorywasaplidtoscientificallyanalyzethegapsandtrends ofinter-regionalagriculturaldevelopment.Teresarchasbasedontreedimensionsoftheagriculturalindustry，productionadoperation，with16secondary indicatorscovered.Taking ShandongProvince asanexample，theentropy-weight methodandthe Delphi methodwereusedtoquantitativelyevaluatetheindicatorsweights，andthenthehighqualitydevelopmentindexofcounty-levelagriculturewascalculated.TheresultsshowedthatagriculturaldevelopmentinthecountiesofShandongProvincewas generallatalow levelsituatedintheprimarysageofigqualityagriculturaldevelopment，etitehitedanupwardtrend.Andotablesaialo relations among regional agricultural development were observed. Through β -absolute convergence and α- convergence tests，it was foundthatwhileregionaldisparitiesinagriculturaldevelopmentshowedanexpandingtrend，significantcatch-upphenomenaisted betwencounties.TheresearchconcludedthatShandong’sagriculturalhigh-qualitydevelopmentremainedinitsinitialphase，with inter-countydevelopmentgapsexpetedtograduallyarrowovertime.Iwasrecommendedthatcountiesshouldleveragelocalrsouresandgeographicaladvantagesctielydoptiformationthnologndientificmethds，ndpromotethnologialiegatio to agricultural practices to advance the province's agricultural modernization.

KeyWords：agriculturalhigh-qualitydevelopment；evaluationsystem；convergenceanalysis；entropymethod;Delphimethod；counties of Shandong Province

農(nóng)業(yè)是國民經(jīng)濟(jì)的基礎(chǔ)，它不僅關(guān)系到人民群眾的食品安全和生活質(zhì)量，還與生態(tài)環(huán)境的可持續(xù)性和地區(qū)均衡發(fā)展緊密相連。（剩余11860字）