基于HEC-HMS模型的小流域洪水預(yù)報模擬分析

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中圖分類號：TV882.1；TP391 文獻標(biāo)志碼：A 文章編號：1003-5168（2025）07-0048-04

DOI：10.19968/j.cnki.hnkj.1003-5168.2025.07.010

Simulation AnalysisofFlood Forecast in Small Watershed Basedon HEC-HMSModel

HE Yuancui1 ZHANG Jian2 YIN Shuxia2 （1.Hydrology Bureau of Shandong Province， Jinan 25Oooo， China; 2.Hydrology Bureau of Jining City，Jining272000，China）

Abstract： [Purposes] The objective of this study is to explore the application efect of HEC-HMS model in small watersheds by using typical watershed modeling.[Methods] Taking the Xueye Reservoir basin as an example，the HEC-HMS model of the Xueye Reservoir basin was established by using the rainfall and the inflow of the Xueye Reservoir from 1963 to 2016 in the upper reaches，Chayekou and Yumen stations，and the simulation analysis was carried out.[Findings]The results of the HEC-HMS model in the Xuye Reservoir basin were all qualified，and the simulation effect was good.The average certainty coefficient is O.828，which achieves Class B accuracy.[Conclusions] The HEC-HMS model is feasible in flood forecasting in small watersheds in northern China.

Keywords：Xueye reservoirwatershed;HEC-HMS; flood forecast simulation

0引言

受季風(fēng)氣候的影響，加上地理條件的復(fù)雜性，我國經(jīng)常發(fā)生水旱災(zāi)害，嚴(yán)重危害了人民群眾的生命財產(chǎn)安全。（剩余2885字）