基于深度學(xué)習(xí)模型的混凝土壩變形預(yù)測(cè)研究
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關(guān)鍵詞：混凝土壩；變形監(jiān)測(cè)；變形預(yù)測(cè)；LSTM；TCN中圖分類(lèi)號(hào)：TV642 文獻(xiàn)標(biāo)志碼：A doi：10.3969/j.issn.1000-1379.2025.07.023引用格式：，，，等.基于深度學(xué)習(xí)模型的混凝土壩變形預(yù)測(cè)研究[J].人民黃河，2025，47（7）：144-149，155.
Research on Deformation Prediction of Concrete Dams Based on Deep Learning Models
SU Xiaojun1，XU Zengguang1， ZHANG Ye1，KANG Xinyu'， ZHOU Tao2，YANG Tao3，LI Kangping4 （1.State KeyLaboratoryof WaterEngineering EcologyandEnvironment inAridArea，Xi’an Universityof Technology，Xi'an 710048，China；2.Huanghe Hydropower Development Co.，Ltd.， Xining 81000，China； 3.China Yangtze Power Co.，Ltd.，Yibin 644612，China；4.Power China Northwest Engineering Co.，Ltd.，Xi'an 710065，China） Abstract： Inordertoimprovetheacuracyofpredictingconcretedamdeformationsandensuredamstructuralsafety，thispaperproposeda predictionmodelcombiningTemporalConvolutionalNetworks（TCN）andLongShort-TermMemory（LSTM）networks，imingthelimitationsofexistingpredictionmodelsincaptuingcomplexdeformationfeaturesandlong-tedependencies.TCNwasusedtoextractteporal featuresfromdeformationdta，hileLSTMcapturedlongtedependenciesiscombinationsignificantlyehancedteodel’sabilityo predictomplexdeformationpatesExperimentalesultsemonstratetat，compaedwithvariousinteligentpedictionodels，eo posedmodelaccuratelysiulatestdadfaprocsndcheshigerpredictiouacyFurteore，eodelosates asignificantadvantageincapturigomplexdefoationcharacteisticsofconcretedams，providingaovelteciquefordamsafetoi ring.
Key words：concrete dam；deformation monitoring；deformation prediction；LSTM；TCN
0 引言
水庫(kù)大壩作為重要的基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施，直接關(guān)系到庫(kù)區(qū)人民的生命財(cái)產(chǎn)安全，一旦發(fā)生事故，后果將極為嚴(yán)重[1-3]。（剩余10114字）